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Southern Africa

Zambia

Copperbelt expansion tied to power and rail

CopperPowerMining & MineralsEnergy Transition
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Projects
1
Companies
1
Opportunities
1
Infrastructure
1

Overview

Zambia's copper growth ambition depends as much on hydropower availability and Lobito Corridor logistics as on orebody quality.

Region
Southern Africa
Capital
Lusaka
Currency
ZMW
ISO3
ZMB

Market records

DRC copper mine production
See USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries t/yr
U.S. Geological Survey · 1 Jan 2025
DRC share of world cobalt mine supply
Majority of global supply %
U.S. Geological Survey · 1 Jan 2025
Lobito Atlantic Railway concession
30-year rail concession deal
Africa Finance Corporation · 1 Jan 2024

Country at a glance

Population
21.3 million

As of 2024

World Bank · 2024
Government
Presidential republic

As of 2025

World Bank · 2025

Economy & macroeconomics

GDP (current US$)
US$ 26.6 bn

As of 2024

World Bank · 2024
Real GDP growth
4.0%
2020+6.8 pp2024

As of 2024

International Monetary Fund · 2024
Inflation, consumer prices
15.0%

As of 2024

International Monetary Fund · 2024

Energy intelligence

Access to electricity
48%

As of 2022

World Bank · 2022
Installed generation capacity
≈3.8 GW

As of 2023

International Energy Agency · 2023
Electricity generation mix

Project pipeline

  1. 1
    Expansion

Risk & due diligence

Sovereign ratings
  • Fitch Ratings
    2025
    CCC+

Hydrological risk

Likelihood 3/3 · Impact 3/3

Nexus interpretation

A hydro-dominated grid exposes copper production directly to rainfall variability.

International Energy Agency ·

Governance & legal framework

Decision-making bodies
Governing instruments

Outlook

Copper outlook
  • Mine expansion investment
  • Power import capacity
Nexus interpretation

Nexus reads announced Zambian copper growth targets as dependent on firm power and corridor capacity being contracted ahead of ramp-up.

Drivers are sourced; the reading is Nexus analysis, not a forecast.

International Energy Agency ·

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Sources

Every factual record carries its source organisation, link and verification status. Where a value cannot be verified from a primary public source, Nexus records it as not available.